The talk of the town: Matt Walbeck in Altoona

Altoona Curve manager Matt Walbeck is getting unprecedented praise from all around the game this year. Not because his stocked roster has won 62% of their games in an unusually weaker Eastern Division year, but because of the way his team is winning. Four out of the five scouts I sent to watch the Curve play this year have sent back glowing reports on Walbeck with notes saying things like:  “average club with all-star manager getting all-star results”  –  “pushes the right buttons at the right time”  – ”fiery, competitive.”

But nothing impressed me more than a conversation between one of the scouts and a guy sitting next to him (nameless out of respect for both men and the organization of the pro scout) during a recent game:

scout:  ‘Here to see Justin Wilson?”

guy: “No, not really.”

scout (looks at the rosters of both teams playing and joked to the guy): “Oh, you must be here to see Steamer then (Curve’s mascot)?”

guy: “No, Matt Walbeck, actually.”

The scout couldn’t believe his ears but snuck an occaisional look at the notes this pro scout sitting next to him took – indeed, Walbeck had his own section.

After hearing some of these reports I started asking a few questions to folks close to the players Walbeck has/is managing and received off the charts praise for the man. Normally I hear a few negatives here and there but not this time - it was all gold.

I have never had the pleasure of watching Walbeck manage, nor do I know much about him, but it’s becoming crystal clear that we have a manager in our system who is doing the right things at the right time with the right players who have all bought into his style. It’s not the Pirates development plan, it’s not the coordinators, nor is it the Pirates management traveling show — it’s who he is, how he does it, and why he does it that everyone he instructs has come to believe in.

Walbeck is obviously a five-tool manager with a plan of his own.

And his plan is working.

I didn’t get to see the Bucs whip the Phils Sunday but from some of your e-mails I could tell some of you are quite impressed with our recent run.

Good for you.

So off we go to Houston where we win about one-in-four over our last 26 games played there. Lincoln takes the mound carrying a 2.84 ERA last three and coming off a game where he threw nearly 50% of his pitches as curves. I’m not so sure he’s going to get away with that game plan in Houston because they have quite a few guys who wail offspeed stuff.. even plus offspeed stuff. Interestingly, batter’s have crushed Lincoln’s fastball in his last three outings (.311 BAA) but it hasn’t hurt him as bad as you might expect. The reason for that is he isn’t throwing it as much.

But guess what? The Astros are playing about as flat as we saw the Cubs play us recently, plus they just haven’t been able to find their strokes against right hand pitching this year (.628 OPS). And even more worrisome is that the Astros have a ridiculous .218 batting average on balls in play in July which suggests that they have been very, very unlucky up to this point and, as we know, everything tends toward the mean in this game so they are probably about ready to explode as a group.

One thing that might help them is that lately they have been more patient at the plate. If they sit back and don’t chase Lincoln’s low hook, Lincoln will have to come in the zone with his fastball or hang his hook higher which will probably result in quite a few well-struck balls in play. And don’t forget that in Lincoln’s last three outings I told you that, despite him walking away with just three earned runs or less in each game, even most of his outs were hammered, crushed, cannon shots.

Lincoln’s mound opponent is southpaw Wandy Rodriguez who pitches to contact and, more likely than not, his pitches will also make contact with a player or two during the game. He typically pitches pretty good at Minute Maid but lugs to the mound an odd stat – the Astros are only a 17% winner the game after he throws a quality start, which he did his last time out. But don’t let that fool you – the Astros are 17-7 in his last 24 home starts despite two of those 7 coming in his last three home starts.

This is being called the series of losers.. one club trying to turn things around and the other club with more talent but falling apart at the seams. The Astros weakness, outside their inability to hit the ball this year, is their pen. Our advantage is that we come in with a bit of an offensive swagger. Will it continue now that Coonelly’s Phillies have left the stadium?

The bad guys have the advantage on paper in two of the three games but don’t be shocked if we get swept.

Meek to the All-Star game. Good for him – well deserved. Cutch has fallen apart the last month and the Pirates just refused to support his bid with any kind of PR push like they did with Sanchez and others in the past. I’m telling you, it’s as if they are beating Cutch to the ground as much as possible so they can get him to sign a little bit cheaper deal. Been there, seen that before in this town.

Clement back catching in Indy. What a frikin’ joke. Not that Clement is catching but because management waited for half the season to expire before putting him there. What astounds me is that they haven’t put Walker back behind the plate, or made him a pitcher, or even a coach (or, has he performed that role yet?).

Our front office is extremely poor at short-term decision-making processes. Littlefield was the best fire putter-outer there was.. Huntington is quickly overtaking him for knee-jerk actions.

A reader asked me if I would trade Tabata for a young shortstop. 

In a heartbeat.

Another reader asked if I would trade Lincoln.

In a heartbeat.

Obviously the return would have to justify either deal.

Lastly, a reader asked if I would sell out the prospects to get Cliff Lee.

Nope.. not interested.

I was smacked around in Fantasy League action for the second week in a row. Shame on all you guys. I was so bad last week I wanted to invoke a mercy rule in two of my leagues.

Bucs signed a handful of international talent the last week.  ( ** YAWN ** )

Jack Flash about to dash?

First of all, let me show you a new feature I’ve added to the blog.  If you look on the navigation bar under the logo of the site you’ll see a link for “Rumor Mill” where I will be posting the gossip I hear around the league.  Check there often because I’ll post updates there and and not in a site post during the day.  Also, if you haven’t already tried the “News” link right next to it you’re missing a lot of news around the game.

That said, the latest whispers in the circuit are that the Pirates are entertaining an offer for Jack Wilson from the Tigers in what has grown into a possible three-team deal.  There’s no word how far along this is, no word who the players might be yet, and why the Marlins might be involved, but the whispers are growing so it’s obviously more than an inquiry.  I’ll throw more on the Rumor Mill page as I get it.

Now you can start your wild imaginations flowing.  Just think, Porcello for…

Well traveled Matt Walbeck will be joining the Bucs development system this year.  Considering the depth of his credentials – and no, not his above acting credentials, his musical credentials, or his munchies cooking credentials – he should be a plus addition into our lonely system.  I believe he was in the Rays system with Richie Hebner at one point, but I might be wrong.

I asked an opinion on the hire from a NL cross-checker who knows Walbeck and he said:

“Great hire. Relentless worker, good coach.”

Too bad Walbeck wasn’t around last year when one of his previous charges, Jair Jurrjens, was being offered up for Wilson.  Anyway, the odd thing about the hire is that the Pirates evidently don’t know where he fits in yet and he has to wait to know where he’ll be assigned.   Perhaps we have additional plus-plus guys ahead of him that are having to make up their mind?  That would be good stuff, if true.

So JvB walked, eh?  That’s ok, he’ll probably only make it to the corner before he turns around and comes back.   What a great guy.

Hey what do you know, I made Tango’s site.  That’s a first.  He had a great idea about looking at the “at” pitch counts instead of the “through” counts in Snell’s chart I posted yesterday.  That’s good stuff and we’ll have to do some of that down the road.  I’m still in the process of building my API’s, if anyone is really interested.

To those that wanted my MySQL trigger script, I emailed it to each of you so look in your spam box if you haven’t received it.  Today I spend 70 minutes writing an SPSS pitch count syntax based on the PITCHf/x data that would do the same thing it took me hours to do in MySQL, so I’ve migrated there.  Live and learn.  If anyone needs that, let me know.

A couple of reader’s questions:

“Here’s my question - we’ve heard about Byrd and Pedro why not bring both?  If Maholm wins 10 plus games and Byrd and Pedro each won 10 games we in reality don’t have any other 10 game winners beating down the internal door.  With Snell and the gang we have nothing but question marks.  Three solid starters would certainly be an upgrade from 5 question marks.” — LM (Pittsburgh?)

I see your logic but I’m not sure I agree with it.  Think about that guy in the tractor collecting balls at the golf range who is protected by a steel cage.  One player last year told me he felt like he was in that tractor without the cage when he was on the field.  Now if we add Byrd to that mix I would bet he would say he felt like he was naked collecting the golf balls.

As for Pedro, I just don’t know enough about his health to form an opinion other than to say, if he still has a live arm, some movement on his pitches, can find the plate, and is healthy, I can’t imagine why the Mets or another organization wouldn’t offer him a better deal than we probably could.

I think I like the idea of the question marks pitching this year – let’s see who can get to the next level and who can’t, who can stay healthy and who can’t.  But that’s me.

“You can’t be serious about wanting to trade Ryan Doumit Jake.  Tell me you were kidding.”  — about 20 readers

Yeah, that suggestion didn’t go over to well with the readership, that’s for sure. 

Heck yeah I deal him – he has yet to play a full season healthy, he’s proven he can sit behind the dish and receive the ball, he can certainly hit, and there are a few clubs with impressive youth looking for, or to upgrade, a catcher.  It’s not easy getting teams to give up quality prospects so, sure, I’d deal him for the right package.  Heck, I’d deal anyone not named McCutchen or Alvarez for the right return.