Pirates prospect depth should be significantly deeper

The worst franchise in pro sports:

   2009:  Pittsburgh Pirates .. Tom Jones, St. Petersburg Times
   2008:  Pittsburgh Pirates .. Dave Golokhov, Fox Sports/AskMen
   2007:  Pittsburgh Pirates .. Larry Dobrow, CBS Sports

What’s the difference between Dobrow’s annual ‘I hate the Bucs’ hammering, the 2008 award, and the one we just received this year? 

Not much, you say?   Think again. 

Not only has Tom Jones been writing sports longer than the twenty-two years John Perrotto has covered the Pirates, that piece he just wrote is in one of the nation’s better newspapers which also happens to be in one of the other MLB markets.

Ouch. 

Now consider some of his words:

Whenever they do draft and develop a star, they end up trading him. They’ve become almost a farm system for the big-market teams such as the Yankees and Red Sox.  They’ve gone 17 seasons without a winning record, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them go at least another 17.   (emphasis supplied by Bucco Blog)

Thank you Mr. Jones – that’s good stuff.  He’s right .. it wouldn’t be surprising considering the way we’re headed. 

After the 2007 season the Pittsburgh Pirates had the 26th best farm system in baseball, according to Baseball America.  Now after two years of intense salary dumping, trades, and other giveaways under the new regime, Jim Callis told me where we are ranked:

I really haven’t tried to break the organizations down vs. each other, but 20th or so is  probably fair. They’ve added some depth but lost McCutchen. Really hard to  say — I haven’t been impressed with many of the NL systems I’ve edited so far.

The only player who has graduated to a full-time job from our 2007 system is Andrew McCutchen and he was replaced in the system by Pedro Alvarez after the 2008 draft.  In other words, after Neal Huntington and Frank Coonelly gutted more than half of our 25-man roster they inherited by trading 14 players for 26 and netting 131 years of control, and after spending the most money in the game in the first year draft the last two years mostly on risky high school arms and Alvarez, we’ve barely moved up the stocked talent ladder.

Barely moved.

I hear you starting to form an argument – Baseball America ranks organizations by established impact talent instead of trying to decipher potential upside of, say, high school pitchers just taken in the last draft who may or may not ever amount to anything.  That’s fair – I think BA does a good job of intermixing the two myself, but let’s take your argument one step further.

I pressed Callis where the Pirates would rank today if they had taken Maztek, Wheeler, or Green over Sanchez last year, signed Scheppers in 2008, and inked Sano this year: 

Maybe the top ten. 

And that is the crux of my argument here – we can’t afford to be making these kind of mistakes.  Argue all you want that Scheppers wasn’t healthy or was only throwing 80% in his bullpen in front of Huntington, argue all you want about Rob Plummer’s tough policy on Sano, Rene Gayo’s flagrant aggressiveness with the family, or whether or not we knew he was 16 or 21, and argue all you want about the merits of filling a position of need instead of taking the best available in the first year draft.  Those might be valid points. 

My point is that we didn’t get take the right risks – we failed to give Plummer upfront what Sano wanted, we spent $4 million on Ramon Vazquez instead of using Bixler and taking a $1.5 million risk on Scheppers, and I don’t even have to tell you how ludicrous it was to take Sanchez over impact players in last year’s draft simply to fill an organizational hole.  Failing to take those risks has left us just as deep in the hole as we were two and one-half years ago, although you could also argue the Nuttings can now field cheaper rosters for several seasons with all the years of control we gained.

We’re not getting the job done.

Where we failed – instead of confronting the fan base and telling them that there would be a six-year rebuilding stage starting in late 2007 regardless of the fallout, we focused on supplementing our short-term major league roster in our acquisitions instead of acquiring significantly higher rated talent in the lower levels of the organization aiding the long-term plan.  

We failed to take the right risks.

That was a colossal error which the results from are just starting to be seen, like in BA”s organizational rankings. And while BA’s work isn’t proof-positive of anything, it’s the best information the fans have available.  Ask Frank Coonelly – he cites them to us as well. And down the road it will be seen in mediocre win rates like we saw across our system last year because every other club in our division has something we don’t have – a better stocked farm system or money to burn.

We can’t continue these misses or what Tom Jones said above will happen – we’ll still be here 17 years from now wondering where it all went wrong.

I am stunned that some of the Pittsburgh Pirates fan base participated in a chat at the Post-Gazette partially designed to give the newspaper a fleeting edge on what to put behind a pay wall to force the fans to pay for.

Why would anyone provide the means for another person to take money out of their pocket?  D’uh.  Maybe I’m just starting to understand the real reason the Pirates sold 1.6 million tickets last year.

I understand the industry is dying but instead of adapting they are trying to force change.  What did I say last night happens when change is forced?  That’s right, it inevitably fails.  Counting on the remaining Pittsburgh Pirates fan base to help a newspaper survive is about as shaky a plan as it comes because you know who is going to beat them to the punch?

These guys, and these guys, and these guys, just to name a few.

Wake up people.

Speaking of fluff that needs to go behind a pay wall so we don’t have to view it any more, what the hell was Smizik thinking in this piece?  Maybe he should spend some of his time digging in Federal Street’s dumpsters instead since he’d probably get more information from that rat hole than he will from the Nuttings?  Yeah baby, we need a pay wall up in Pittsburgh alright.

If it ‘aint fit to print, it ‘aint fit to read.

Dejan reports we’re looking to add another Rule 5 pick.

Oh, happy days are here again
The skies above are clear again
So, Let’s sing a song of cheer again

Happy times
Happy nights
Happy days
Are here again!

Speaking of happier days:

PROFESSIONAL PITCHING LESSONS: Ex-Major League Baseball player with the Pittsburgh Pirates residing in Charleston [SC] available for pitching lessons. Contact Brian Rogers, ***-***-****.

One happy dude.  He loves the attention, obviously.  But good for him, he’s earned the right to have it.

Like the NEWS section above?  Wish it had different links, more links, different stuff? It’s simply an RSS aggregator and many of the links are quiet right now like with our affiliates. But give me your ideas for a one-stop Pirates news hole.

How about the new comment rating system? I think it’s lame myself but several folks have asked for it and I’m willing to try it out. Let me know what you think.

Fans are losing their cool as ship continues to sink

Within an hour after the starting lineups were posted for Thursday’s game I received two e-mails asking me to either announce an upcoming walkout or to join a boycott.  I don’t know if both of the e-mails came from the same person or not but I assume they did and were simply fishing to see how ‘irate’ I might be.  Coupled with the volume of e-mail you’ve written on the subject lately, it’s pretty obvious everyone is quickly approaching the boiling point. 

You’re upset?  Ok.  Pissed off?  I understand.  But irate?  Come on, that’s silly.  If you are, then you didn’t buy into the rebuilding process.  Look, I’m as anti-Nutting as the next Pirate fan and, true, Coonelly and Huntington weren’t my picks.  But they are in charge of the processes right now and that’s all there is to it.

Continue reading » Fans are losing their cool as ship continues to sink

Newspaper "Pay Wall" starts to go up in Pittsburgh

JR called my name and I ran like a two-year-old over to him to see what he wanted when I heard him say – “grab your glove, you’re going out to play right field next half inning.” 

“Yes SIR,” I responded as my knees bgan to shake uncontrollably.

Finally it was D-Time.. I ran out with the group being careful not to run too fast or look at any of the faces in the stands, but I could hear them talking about me before I even reached the outfield grass.  The comments were flying — “Look at that kid.. he can’t be more than 15!”  — “He doesn’t have a name on his jersey — #50?? – he can’t be anyone special!”  — “Hey Peachfuzzzzzzz! Come here baby!”

I honestly thought I was going to heave by the time I reached right.  Next thing I knew, pitches were flying left and right, balls were in play, and before I could even get my stomach settled down, the inning was over and trotted back in.

Gary Varsho told me I was up 4th and to grab my bat and I immediately turned to look and see who was on the mound and saw Brad Lidge and almost had a heart attack.  My God, they can’t possibly want me to get in the box against a guy who can dial it up to 98 mph – Hell, I’m ONLY 19 and hit just a buck eighty-eight in rookie ball, are they crazy? – I remember thinking as I grabbed my stick.

I sat down on the pine and wondered if the first three batters would make outs and all I would have to do is stand on the on-deck circle.  I can handle that, I thought. 

Then IT happened.. AC doubled to left-center with one out and I knew I was going to get my first AB against pro pitching.  My gut turned inside-out, the game sped up so fast it seemed like Negrych was in the box for two seconds, and then it was my turn.

So I stepped in the box and before I could even find Lidge’s arm slot the ball wisked past the plate – thankfully well away from me. My heart was beating faster as I saw Cutch tipping me to an inside location for the second pitch and all I could do is watch it float by I was so scared – one minute it was coming straight at me, the next thing it darted about two foot down and away. 

I backed out of the box a second and took a couple of practice swings trying to stop the flow of piss wanting to exit my bladder when I heard the home plate ump say let’s go.. so I stepped back in.  The next pitch stunned me – high heat, head high.. my knees buckled just a bit but I stood in there determined to let it take off my nose if it hit me in the face. 

I waited for the fourth pitch noticing Cutch tipping from second an inside location again and my bladder about opened right there.. I saw the ball out of Lidge’s hand for the first time and it was coming right at my crotch so I bent back just a bit hoping it would miss and then I saw it tail away about two foot and out of the zone.

Whew!  I thought my baby-making days were over right there.

I stepped back out hearing the ump call a 2-2 count and Lidge released a fastball slow enough for me to track so I started to swing, but it was well low and in the dirt. 

Now I was getting cocky.. I was starting to see the ball, I was actually trying to swing the bat which seemed to make Mr. Lidge a bit upset, so I guessed fastball on the 3-2 pitch getting ready to head my way..

Heater.. away.. I saw it well.. the damn thing was low and outside and nearly painted but I played it off like I did in high school by starting my “damn I’m glad to be alive” trot to first praying the ump didn’t ring me up for leaving the box too early when I heard “Ball Four!”

There I was.. on first with Mr. Hill telling me great patience (if he only knew), and to watch the ball and the runner in front of me when a couple of pitches later Garrett Jones hammered a Lidge offering over the fence allowing me to run the pro bases for the first time in my career.

When I got back to the dugout I was mobbed even though I didn’t hit the home run.. they knew what I just went through, they knew I was scared to death and acting the best I could, and they were all proud and willing to share that with me.

Including JR who told me – “You just had your rookie hazing kid. Good job.” 

I walked away with a smile on my face thinking that wasn’t too hard and licking my chops thinking about first round of A-ball pitchers I was going to maul.

The batter?  Robbie Grossman- fresh out of high school and having graduated from rookie ball a month or so later.  No, that’s not his story – it’s one I made up as I watched the young man.  It was obvious the game was running faster than his mind could control but he did seem to start getting a little more comfortable toward the end of the AB – even looked a bit mature.  He did a great job.

How about Andrew McCutchen?  5 for 5, three doubles, a home run, three runs, and 2 rbis.  WOW.  Ok, the single was on a throwing error but, hey, it would have been bang-bang anyway so the hit was legit.

And I swear I see some Ernie Banks in McCutchen’s swing.  Cutch doesn’t have Bank’s head tuck and Banks didn’t use his front foot for timing, but Cutch has the exact same swing pattern, exact same right elbow wing in a quiet stance, and they seem to have the exact same ”quick” hip/torso rotation.  I’m no pro in swing mechanics but there sure is a lot of similarities from what I remember about Banks watching Cutch.

Anyway, Cutch sat patiently in the box waiting for Moyer’s fastball and when he got the pitch it always seemed to be right down broadway and he wasted no time squaring up on it.  Only one of Cutch’s hits were off an offspeed pitch – a curve that Moyer hung knee high middle/out Cutch went out and drilled.  Every ball was hit hard off him and his home run was a no doubter even with wind gusts near 40 mph. 

Snell was effective and wild.. maybe better put, effectively wild.  More than 10% of his pitches were wild as hell, he threw about half as many balls as strikes through five, hit one in the middle of his back, and every batter he started off 1-0 in the first three innings walked except one which ended with a sac bunt.  He wasn’t exactly facing a tough lineup and those that were in were beating the ball on the ground swinging over what seemed to be his two-seamer and a change.

I also noticed that Snell was using a slight pause when he raised his plant foot and his hands met that knee in the middle of the windup (think Oliver Perez without the long pause).  Each time he paused he seemed to be wild but when he found the plate with the pause he appeared to have more life on the ball for some reason.  Maybe it was just an illusion?  I’ll have to watch him in a real game to see if he does it then.

And man-oh-man, did Howard hit a bomb off Snell.  On a 1-2 count Snell tried to go in with a belt high fastball and Howard was waiting for it.  If it wasn’t hit 500′, it couldn’t have been far off.  Snell lost his composure after the bomb and walked Jenkins then hit Brunett in the back with the first pitch to him.  He then recovered against Giles after starting him off 1-0 and got him to ground to short.

But that exchange with Howard reminded me of Snell’s problems in 2007 and 2008 – he threw too many fastballs that grabbed too much of the plate on two-strike counts and batters were waiting for him.  Not once did I see him bounce a slider in the dirt today – not once.

It was also obvious Jaramillo and Snell weren’t in sync most of the game as Snell kept backing out on him.  But Jaramillo helped Snell along by removing three baserunners – he picked Giles off first whose secondary lead took him halfway to second for some reason, he threw out Rollins at second base who got a late jump off Bautista but his throw was perfectly on the money which it had to be to get him, and when Ruiz doubled to leadoff the third and Moyer layed down a bunt right in front of the plate, Ruiz broke for third and was out by a country mile.  Sloppy (surreal?) baserunning decisions in the game by the Phillies.

I also watched Craig Monroe take a strike three count looking with two men on and no outs, and this was the second or third time I’ve seen him do that exact same thing.  He’s looking more and more like the anti-clutch strikeout king who might display some power when he’s at the plate with nobody on.  And you should have seen him leave his feet for a fly ball Ruiz hit leading off the 4th inning.  Thank God McCutchen was motoring his way because the ball skipped past Monroe heading toward the wall and Cruz might have had a triple or better.  Ok, there was a lot of wind but Monroe’s left his feet before this spring..

Salazar didn’t impress me, Vazquez didn’t impress me, Jones didn’t impress me even with the home run (I’d take my chances on Salazar between him and Jones even though he seems to have a temper), and Bixler continues to try and be the little engine that could despite the odds against him.  He’s turned around pretty quick and is getting good reads and making good plays for not knowing the league batters that well.  Obviously Perry Hill’s instruction isn’t hurting that young man one bit. 

It was a good game that seemed too surreal knowing Bob Nutting was at the game watching intently and this was JR’s old organization.  Moyer never pitches up in the zone like we saw today and what team in their right mind plays 41 year old Matt Stairs in left field with a 30 mph wind blowing out?  Still, Cutch says thank you Charlie Manuel, I’ll take those near misses by Stairs.

Talking about having blinders on, whew.  It’s sad to hear a preview that far off base from Charlie.  Some day in the near future I’ll address the larger obvious off-the-wall comments like Snell being the only one possible to have a good year, the comment about how it took Friedman two and one-half years to “fix” the Rays, the fact that he felt it doesn’t “matter” who pitches the sixth inning on a 95-loss team, and that he thinks Coonelly and Huntington have “got it right” so far. 

Goodness, gracious.

Bucs negotiating with Wilson to keep him?  Yeah right – and cows fly.  How about negotiating with Wilson to reduce his year-to-year contract value plus add a year or two so we can actually deal him since he’s threatened to retire so many times? Oh, and to add a million qualifiers like playing time..

Want to keep Jack Wilson.. oh my, the stories we’re told.

The Pittsburgh-Post Gazette announced Friday that they are discontinuing circulation Monday – Saturday outside their core five-county area and will begin offering a digital version of their newspaper online for subscribers.  When asked today if they were planning to put all online content behind a pay wall, their city desk replied “No – not yet.” 

I’ve been warning Pirates’ fans that is going to eventually happen and I suggested by spring training of 2010 the only way you’ll be able to read Dejan’s daily beat material online may be if you pay.  The same is sure to be true with Pirates online coverage at the Trib, if they are even around then, or Perrotto’s work at PiratesReport, although he certainly has the edge to remain outside of a pay wall since the Pirates majority owner is indirectly paying his salary.

Mark. My. Words.   The entire landscape is changing.

Fast.

It’s a great time to be an independent blogger.

Micropayment subscription model picking up steam

Slow day plus I’m traveling so this will be a quickie.  There is some talk in the circuit about a trade involving a couple of players but everything I’ve heard suggests it’s just pookie at this point because we’re wanting a lot for our guys – especially starting pitching, which seems to be the main focus.  Don’t expect anything to happen until July although we might see an addition from players dropped off rosters. If I hear anything concrete I’ll pass it on.

Jays game sounded pretty uninteresting – a few errors and miscues here, a couple of nice defensive plays there, balls put in the play on the wrong side of the diamond again, Morgan showing why he shouldn’t start against a right handed pitcher with his two strikeouts (can he even hit a slider or changeup?), Moss and Hinske starting to look more comfortable in the box every AB, clutch opportunities not taken advantage of, Vasquez finding the zone late in most AB’s, Burnett getting hit hard by a left hand batter, Grabow watching one go yard on him, Hansen unable to find the plate, and Yates throwing gas.  Oh, and then there was this guy called Halladay..

I haven’t heard anything about Gorzelanny since the 21st and that day he didn’t throw many pitches.  Perhaps there has been some news out there about him but I’ve missed it.  If so, leave a comment – if nobody does I’ll inquire.

I think the Bucs have to break with Ohlendorf and Karstens in the rotation and that sets up a troubling scenario when we get back to Pittsburgh.  More on that later in the week.

Morgan is probably going to hold on to his LF slot – albeit platooned some – and Huntington allow him 50/75 AB or so to see if he gets going (going where is the big question though), but I suspect he’ll be on a short leash.  Moss looks like he may be ready but might not start playing everyday which could open some AB’s for Hinske in RF early.  Just a guess. 

Neil Walker?  Short-term I’d guess he stays at third because we don’t have any clue what Andy LaRoche is going to do, nor how long it’s going to take Pedro to make it up.  We think we know the answers, we hope we know the answers, but we really don’t yet.  Long-term?  He’s a corner utility guy at best with Bixler the middle utility guy.

Keep focused – micropayments.. it’s coming to a newspaper/blog/search engine/whatever near you. 

The Poynter Institute discussed Google’s Publishers Advisory Council’s outcry for a change in the way Google handles newspaper search engine results – especially from paid content sites.  Google’s CEO said in January:

“People love the news. They love reading, discussing it, adding to it, annotating it. The Internet has made the news more accessible. There’s a problem with advertising, classifieds and the cost itself of a newspaper: physical printing, delivery and so on. And so the business model gets squeezed. …

We have a mechanism that enhances online subscriptions, but part of the reason it doesn’t take off is that the culture of the Internet is that information wants to be free. We’ve tried to get newspapers to have more tightly integrated products with ours. We’d like to help them better monetize their customer base. We have tools that make that easier.”  (emphasis added)

Yup, Google stands ready to assist the change to a subscription model (micropayment system?) which is going to be forced down the throats of every user who thrives on immediate gratification.  In sports, we’re already seeing some daily newspapers reduce – or eliminate – things like scouting reports, umpire reports, matchups, and now even box scores are going to be skimpier.

What is ironic about the article is that newspapers are wanting Google to give them a higher priority in search results which shows their continued ignorance and disregard for what made the Internet what it is today – impartial, open, and free.  Asking Google to alter their practices only invites another search engine company to fire up and take over (think what Google did to AltaVista years ago when the public wanted change but AltaVista was too slow to adapt; or even when Yahoo refused to get rid of it’s DMOZ type of search environment everyone hated).

The solution?  Just think back to BBS days, that is, if you were around back then.  It’s a no-brainer.. one segment of BBS Land was free and offered anyone that made it there the basics; then there were paid BBS sites which were very robust and offered everything from discussion forums, games, mail, news, even classifieds.  Those BBS’s were the roots of the current Internet, although many folks don’t realize it.

And I’m here to tell you as a guy who had a very successful paid BBS in the ’80′s (more than 60 US Robotics modems strung all over the front room), if they offer something nobody else does – or they do it better – people will pay.  Ask Ma Bell (pay telephone), Baseball America, The Wall Street Journal, or now, Time Magazine.

Keep focused.. it’s happening faster than you think and baseball and football fans are all but certain to be early guinea pigs.